Anticipatory Action¶
Work in progress.
Anticipatory Action refers to the actions taken to reduce the humanitarian impacts of a forecasted hazard before it occurs or before its most acute impacts are felt. The decision to take action is informed by impact-based forecasts and corresponding thresholds tailored to determine when, where, and how the event will unfold. We aim to enhance Anticipatory Action development and implementation. We support National Societies and other humanitarian actors with data services, capacity building, and by creating digital tools.
By turning forecasts from descriptions of what the weather will be into assessments of what the weather will do, we enable National Societies and local humanitarian partners to leverage data and technology to make data-driven, life-saving decisions and act before disasters strike.
Impact Based Forecasting (IBF) is a process of collecting and integrating data to predict the impact of impending disasters on local communities. It enables anticipatory actions to mitigate the risks posed by climate-induced extreme weather.
See more about Anticipatory Action on our website, including the latest blog posts and case-studies.
Data Services¶
-
Everything about risk assessment to identify prioritized hazards for Early Action Protocol (EAP) development.
-
Everything about the forecast skill assessment services to assess the accuracy and reliability of available forecasts over different lead times.
-
Everything about our support to design triggers for EAPs based on data analysis of available forecasts, informed by the forecast skill assessment.
-
Hazard exposure and vulnerability assessment
Everything about our assistance to predict potential impacts more accurately based on hazard, exposure and vulnerability data.
-
Expert consultation during EAP activation
Everything about our expert consultation to support effective EAP implementation for National Societies and other stakeholders
-
Early Action Protocol (EAP) development
Everything about the design and development of data-driven EAPs grounded in robust risk assessments
-
Scenario Planning and Simulation
Everything about the development of simulation tools for stakeholders to model the EAP.
-
Predictive Analytics and Modeling
Everything about our expert consultation to support effective EAP implementation for National Societies and other stakeholders
-
Trigger Monitoring and Early Warning Systems
Everything about our expert consultation to support effective EAP implementation for National Societies and other stakeholders Everything about the Development of simulation tools for stakeholders to model the EAP.
Integration with other thematic areas¶
CVA in Anticipatory Action¶
work in progress
CEA in Anticipatory Action¶
Community engagement and accountability are essential components of anticipatory action, ensuring that interventions are relevant, effective, and aligned with the needs and priorities of the communities they aim to protect
-
Engage communities from the outset in setting priorities, and designing anticipatory actions. This ensures that interventions are culturally appropriate and meet the real needs of the people.
-
Establish channels for communities to provide feedback on the actions taken and their effectiveness. This feedback helps refine and improve future anticipatory actions and ensures that communities feel heard and valued.
-
Incorporate local knowledge and practices into anticipatory action plans. Communities often have deep, context-specific understanding of their environment and risks, which can enhance the effectiveness of interventions.
-
Ensure that engagement strategies are inclusive, reaching all segments of the community, including vulnerable groups such as women, children, the elderly, and people with disabilities. This ensures that the needs of the most at-risk populations are addressed.
See the full overview of data services we off within the Digital Community Engagement and Accountability thematic area XX.